{"id":2938,"date":"2004-10-29T10:55:41","date_gmt":"2004-10-29T17:55:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mossback.org\/archives\/2004\/10\/thoughtful-analysis-and-stuff\/"},"modified":"2004-10-29T10:55:41","modified_gmt":"2004-10-29T17:55:41","slug":"thoughtful-analysis-and-stuff","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/2004\/10\/29\/thoughtful-analysis-and-stuff\/","title":{"rendered":"Thoughtful analysis and stuff"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\tMegan McArdle offers a thoughtful analysis of the presidential candidates and concludes that Bush is the lesser evil. If you&#8217;re into that kind of thing, go check it out. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.janegalt.net\/blog\/archives\/004974.html\">Here&#8217;s a teaser:<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>What about Kerry? He&#8217;s been on the wrong side of pretty much every foriegn policy issue he addressed before he began running for president, from nuclear freeze to the first Iraq war. He&#8217;s been a borderline incompetent as a senator. I like Joe Biden, who is advising him on foreign policy, but that&#8217;s about all he has going for him. His votes since 9\/11 have been so coldly opportunistic that I, the ultimate political cynic, actually feel a little tinge of disgust. So though liberals keep telling me that 9\/11 changed everything, I have no way of knowing whether they changed John Kerry. Columns telling me to listen to what he&#8217;s saying elicit only a hollow laugh, since John Kerry has already made it abundantly clear that he&#8217;ll say pretty much anything to get elected. Not that this is exactly surprising behaviour in a politician.<\/p>\n<p>Does it matter? There&#8217;s a pretty compelling argument to be made that the Bush administration has screwed up so badly that it&#8217;s practically impossible that the Kerry team could be worse. I have two problems with this argument. The first is that the people who&#8217;ve been making it to me mostly hated Bush before Iraq, before 9\/11, and indeed before he got the Republican Party&#8217;s 2000 nomination. Bush could have been running the greatest foreign policy since Machiavelli, and they would still be arguing for me to take Kerry&#8217;s prospects on blind faith. And second, I&#8217;m not sure it&#8217;s true. Pulling out of Iraq would be worse than leaving a blundering administration there, and as Mickey Kaus said of The Economist&#8217;s Kerry endorsement &#8220;it&#8217;s always a shaky moment in these non-peacenik endorsements when the writer tries to convince himself or herself that Kerry won&#8217;t bail out on Iraq prematurely, isn&#8217;t it? (Kerry has been &#8216;forthright about the need to win in Iraq,&#8217; but do you trust him and if so why? Because Andrew Sullivan&#8217;s blogging will keep him honest?)&#8221; Still, the administration has screwed up in some major ways, leaving me wrestling with the question: how bad could Kerry be?<\/p>\n<p>In the end, it comes down to how much risk the candidates will take. The Democratic policy on foriegn policy risk has been pretty much the same since McGovern: they won&#8217;t take any. They bug out at the first sign of casualties, and go in only when the foe is so tiny that we can smash them without committing ground troops.<\/p>\n<p>The Republicans take risk. Bush took on a lot of it &#8212; and with it, the possibility that something could go wrong.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>For me, the question is pretty simple: Kerry&#8217;s a pussy, Bush isn&#8217;t. I support Bush.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Megan McArdle offers a thoughtful analysis of the presidential candidates and concludes that Bush is the lesser evil. If you&#8217;re into that kind of thing, go check it out. Here&#8217;s a teaser: What about Kerry? He&#8217;s been on the wrong side of pretty much every foriegn policy issue he addressed before he began running for &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/2004\/10\/29\/thoughtful-analysis-and-stuff\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Thoughtful analysis and stuff&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbifyw-Lo","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2938"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2938\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}