\t\t\t\tIt looks to me like the Dems will pick up about 30 seats in the House, which means it changes hands. The Senate looks closer, and it will probably stay narrowly in Republican hands. The Senate doesn’t matter that much because you need 60 votes to do anything important, and neither party is close to that mark.<\/p>\n
Nationally, the Dems will pick up several governorships, but California will buck the trend. Not only will Arnie be re-elected, but we’re going to get one or two more Republican statewide office holders, probably Tom McClintock and either an insurance commissioner, a treasurer or a controller. Democrat Debbie Bowen will win the Sec. of State’s race, and that’s a good thing because she’s a real geek.<\/p>\n
If the Repubs are paying attention, they’ll learn from California to shut up about the gays, the Christians, the guns, and the unborn babies, and worry more about stuff like the environment, infrastructure, low taxes, and health care.<\/p>\n
Even though the Dems are going to pick up the House, I doubt Nancy Pelosi will be elected speaker. She’s a dimwit, and they can do a lot better. Steny Hoyer came second in their last contest, and he’s a much better man than Frisco loony Pelosi.<\/p>\n
UPDATE: The Dems did even better than I thought, taking the Senate as well as the House, and it looks like they intend to give Pelosi a shot at speaker after all. Hopefully, her cat-fight with Jane Harman will stop. Sadly, Tom McClintock won’t get to entertain us from the ceremonial position of Lt. Governor, but the Republican Steve Poizner won Insurance Commissioner over the corrupt Cruz Bustamante. The only Congressional seat to change columns here was Pombo’s, which he lost because of his radical opposition to the Endangered Species Act.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
It looks to me like the Dems will pick up about 30 seats in the House, which means it changes hands. The Senate looks closer, and it will probably stay narrowly in Republican hands. The Senate doesn’t matter that much because you need 60 votes to do anything important, and neither party is close to … Continue reading “Election forecast”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"registered_only","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbifyw-14e","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4106"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4106\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bennett.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}