That’s the prediction of Forrester Research:
Many have called for the US government to mandate “network neutrality” that will ensure all Internet traffic is delivered equally, consumer choice is upheld, and Internet innovation is not stalled. But, it won’t happen in the next three to five years. Why? Because no problem exists today and legislating neutrality will not give consumers the best results. In five years, when rich content taxes networks and broadband adoption approaches saturation, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) will take a more hands-on approach and intervene if a consumer’s access to content and service is being denied. In the meantime, operators should err on the side of limited prioritization and content owners should build priority delivery into carriage agreements.
I hope they’re right.
Ah, Forrester. Weren’t they the ones that predicted — in late 2000 — that the next three years would see B2B and B2C commerce increase from $64 billion to $1.7 trillion in 2004 – a rate of 130% to 150% each year?
I haven’t kept track. I was wondering how that prediction worked out?
* Attribution was inadvertently fried. It is here.
Yeah, but I still hope they’re right about neutering.