Europe’s right shift

— This op-ed in OpinionJournal fleshes-out some of the details of the center-right forces achieving dominance in Europe: In any event, we will not have to worry about Mr. Le Pen for more than the two weeks until the runoff. When Mr. Chirac is re-elected, he will have to lead his country in a very … Continue reading “Europe’s right shift”

— This op-ed in OpinionJournal fleshes-out some of the details of the center-right forces achieving dominance in Europe:

In any event, we will not have to worry about Mr. Le Pen for more than the two weeks until the runoff. When Mr. Chirac is re-elected, he will have to lead his country in a very new Europe, but not the center-left Europe so long imagined by most of the intellectuals and fashionable politicians. Through no particular merit of his own, Mr. Chirac will be a major player in a center-right Europe that will be more suspicious of the mounting power of the European bureaucracy in Brussels, less inclined to dissolve national identities in a new continental union, and keen on retaining more initiative in national legislatures.

One of the predictable responses to globalization is a resurgence of tribalism. In the third world, this takes the form of religious zealotry, and in the first world, nationalism. It’s an interesting deal.

Never mind

— After reading this, I’m having my doubts that Matt’s going to have time to write Green Fudge and Spam: (Los Angeles Business Journal – News Front Page) Riordan said there would be a staff of about 40 and that he plans to start the publication with Matt Welch, co-founder of LAExaminer.com, a local media … Continue reading “Never mind”

— After reading this, I’m having my doubts that Matt’s going to have time to write Green Fudge and Spam: (Los Angeles Business Journal – News Front Page)

Riordan said there would be a staff of about 40 and that he plans to start the publication with Matt Welch, co-founder of LAExaminer.com, a local media Web site that provides local news and analysis — much of it biting — about the heretofore ignored L.A. media scene.

Otis Chander would approve.

Ribbet

— I found a couple of things striking about the French election, being basically ignorant of amphibian politics: * Chirac, the candidate with the most votes, only polled 19% of the vote. While all the media are saying Chirac is the heavy favorite to take the run-off, the difference between 19 and 51 isn’t much … Continue reading “Ribbet”

— I found a couple of things striking about the French election, being basically ignorant of amphibian politics:



* Chirac, the candidate with the most votes, only polled 19% of the vote. While all the media are saying Chirac is the heavy favorite to take the run-off, the difference between 19 and 51 isn’t much less than the difference between 17 and 51, so Jean-Marie Le Pen might just take it all; a little mold on the wheat, and anything can happen.




* Left parties are taking a beating all over Europe. Although the elites and the media say that Europe doesn’t approve of our war on terrorists, the people themselves are saying something very different, and refusing to return their Chomskyites to power.



* The French have a run-off system. What a change it would make in America if we held a run-off every time there’s no clear winner in the presidential election. Minor parties like the reforms and the Greens could run vigorous campaigns without having to deal with the vote-siphoning question, and the level of debate would probably be a lot higher. I don’t assume this means that Al Gore would be in the White House now (scary thought, that) because Bush had Libertarians and Reforms draining his votes down, but a reform like that would be most worthwhile if we could ditch the electoral college as well. But election reform in America today means checking IDs at the polls, an issue that’s still a hot potato due to illegally registered Democrats who swing elections in California. But I can dream.




OK, so that’s three things, shoot me.

Nader fudge

— Matt Welch’s review of Nader’s book in Reason is first rate: September 11 showed that when it comes to foreign policy and critical thinking, the Naderite left is not yet ready for prime time. Which is a shame, because the consumer advocate and his followers have many useful things to say about corporate welfare, … Continue reading “Nader fudge”

— Matt Welch’s review of Nader’s book in Reason is first rate:

September 11 showed that when it comes to foreign policy and critical thinking, the Naderite left is not yet ready for prime time. Which is a shame, because the consumer advocate and his followers have many useful things to say about corporate welfare, third-party access, political hypocrisy, civil liberties, drug legalization, and a host of other issues the Democrats and Republicans largely ignore. And for all its excesses, the leftist foreign policy critique about supporting dictators and addressing “root causes” has found new resonance in the past months. Nader is clearly licking his chops at the Enron collapse, and all signs point to an even more vigorous run for the presidency in 2004.

Now Matt, get that proposal for your Nader book (“Green Fudge and Spam”) to your agent, and do it right now. No more blogging until it’s in the mail.

Correction

I said below that Geoff Nunberg “fudged his numbers.” That wasn’t nice – I should have said that Boyd was unable to replicate the results of Nunberg’s survey. Nunberg engages in spin, but that’s not the same as outright lying (except about NOW, where he seems to be involved in wishful thinking.) Civility is very … Continue reading “Correction”

I said below that Geoff Nunberg “fudged his numbers.” That wasn’t nice – I should have said that Boyd was unable to replicate the results of Nunberg’s survey. Nunberg engages in spin, but that’s not the same as outright lying (except about NOW, where he seems to be involved in wishful thinking.) Civility is very important.

I tend to give people more credit for knowing what they’re doing than others might, I’ve learned. When Richard Peterson examined the data Lenore Weitzman collected on post-divorce incomes and found that they didn’t support her argument that women suffer a 73% decline in standard of living whle men increased theirs by 42% (in reality, Weitzman’s figures showed that including tax effects, both had the same decline, about 10%), I said she lied and he said she erred. Take your pick.

Nunberg’s study is suspect on several methodoligical grounds, especially the small sample size and the short distance between noun and adjective he requires. It would seem that he had a point to prove, and chose a set of variables that appeared to prove it; that’s spin.

No nouns, please

— Doc Searls wants an end to ideological labels, and toward that end he quotes this unfortunate statement of Photo Dude’s: And on the other side of the coin, there are indeed people who may not have been First Wavers like Jason but were veteran bloggers long before 9-11, who consider themselves generally left of … Continue reading “No nouns, please”

Doc Searls wants an end to ideological labels, and toward that end he quotes this unfortunate statement of Photo Dude’s:


And on the other side of the coin, there are indeed people who may not have been First Wavers like Jason but were veteran bloggers long before 9-11, who consider themselves generally left of center, yet fully support the war on terrorism.

And don’t care if they are published in a book or not.

So build me my own cubbyhole. No label, please.

Labels like “First-Waver” are good, even when applied to late adopters, but labels like “fuzzy-headed pacifist” or “warblogger” are bad. I see now, sorry I missed the memo.

Nunberg number three on Blogdex

— ( blogdex ) shows a lot of links to Nunberg: “3.Geoffrey Nunberg – Media Bias – 8.1 points NOW cannot be accurately labeled as liberal www-csli.stanford.edu/~nunberg/response.html – more info – sources” That statement about NOW will go down in history as one of the all-time gaffes, just like “Singapore is a good starting point” … Continue reading “Nunberg number three on Blogdex”

( blogdex ) shows a lot of links to Nunberg: “3.Geoffrey Nunberg – Media Bias – 8.1 points NOW cannot be accurately labeled as liberal www-csli.stanford.edu/~nunberg/response.html – more info – sources”

That statement about NOW will go down in history as one of the all-time gaffes, just like “Singapore is a good starting point” and “the people of Poland are free.”

Pioneer copy-cats

— Commenting on the mud-wrestling between warbloggers and the Font Kiddiez, WarLog: World War III by Jeff Jarvis says: Nick Denton calls the feud developing between pioneer bloggers and warbloggers. It’s a simple case of the pioneers being jealous of the attention the newcomers are getting. Jeff’s right about the jealousy part, wrong about who … Continue reading “Pioneer copy-cats”

— Commenting on the mud-wrestling between warbloggers and the Font Kiddiez, WarLog: World War III by Jeff Jarvis says:

Nick Denton calls the feud developing between pioneer bloggers and warbloggers.
It’s a simple case of the pioneers being jealous of the attention the newcomers are getting.

Jeff’s right about the jealousy part, wrong about who the pioneers are. Among the Warbloggers we have several who’ve been logging news, culture, and politics on the web longer than Font Kiddiez Kottke, Winer, Blood, Searls, and Nutmeg: they would include Ken Layne and Bill Quick (since 1995), Tim Blair, Matt Welch, Emmanuelle Richard, Ed Mazza, Jason Ross, and Tony Pierce (since 1997), as well as yours truly, class of 1994. Jealous, yes; pioneers, no. But the Font Kiddiez have spent an awful lot of time and energy proclaiming the fiction that they invented weg logs, on Dave Winer’s web site, in Rebecca Blood’s forthcoming conspiracy book, and on Denton’s web site:

People like Doc Searls and Meg Hourihan are to the weblog as Oppenheimer and von Neumann were to the A-bomb. Gentle souls whose creation will be used by others more ruthless.

I suspect that Denton knows better, but likes to stir up the shit so he can sit back and enjoy the show; Winer, Blood, and Hourihan have a different set of issues.

Update: this snarky post by Font Kiddy Matt Haughey lays bare the confusion:

The original post that brought it up, though heavily exaggerated, doesn’t sound like the book will really cover blogger’s views of September 11, nor communicate the great power of weblogs and the good things they did for a lot of people that day.

See, Matt, the purpose of the book isn’t to rustle up some business for Jason, Dave, and Ev — it’s to bring some excellent expressions of human reaction to tragedy to a larger audience than the weblog-reading public. If you weren’t such a brat, you’d already know that.

I suspect that what the Font Kiddiez have in mind is something like their book, The Cluetrain Manifesto, basically a Unabomber-with-a-modem melange of brainlessness trying to look brainy. Think Al Gore drunk and you get the picture.

Caught with his pants down

— Liberal media apologist Geoff Nunberg tries to weasel out of blogger Edward Boyd’s discovery that he fudged* his numbers, committing three major gaffes in the process (at Geoffrey Nunberg – Media Bias, linked by Instantman) Gaffe Number 1 has Nunberg claiming NOW’s not a left-wing organization: Goldberg’s other number involves one of those specious … Continue reading “Caught with his pants down”

— Liberal media apologist Geoff Nunberg tries to weasel out of blogger Edward Boyd’s discovery that he fudged* his numbers, committing three major gaffes in the process (at Geoffrey Nunberg – Media Bias, linked by Instantman)

Gaffe Number 1 has Nunberg claiming NOW’s not a left-wing organization:

Goldberg’s other number involves one of those specious comparisons that critics of liberal media bias are prone to. In this case, he points out that “the Los Angeles Times ran only 98 stories about the Concerned Women for America and identified the group as conservative 28 times. But The LA Times ran more than 1,000 stories on the National Organization for Women and labeled NOW liberal only seven times.”


But that’s meretricious, in every sense of the term. Concerned Women of America is a self-identified conservative Christian group (it opposes, among other things, abortion, homosexual adoption, hate-crime legislation, the AmeriCorps volunteer program, and the teaching of “ill-conceived Darwinian theory” in the schools). Whereas NOW makes a point of rejecting explicitly partisan labels — the appropriate description of the group is “feminist.”

Nunberg doesn’t get out much. NOW takes a stance opposite to CWA on the relevant issues Nunberg mentions: abortion, gay adoption, and hate crimes, and NOW is in favor of unbounded welfare, comparable worth laws, quotas, and male disempowerment. There exists a broad spectrum of feminist organizations to the right of NOW, including the Independent Women’s Forum, the Women’s Freedom Network, iFeminists, so it’s not correct to simply label NOW feminist; they’re every bit as far to the left as CWA is to the right, and the inability to see them for what they are is the essence of bias.

The second gaffe has Nunberg claiming that labelling a politician “progressive” is evidence of conservative bias:

I found that Jesse Helms was described as “right wing” about thirty times as often as Paul Wellstone was described as “left wing.” But if you are going to look at “left wing,” you’re obliged to look at the other labels the press uses for liberal politicians, as well — terms like “progressive,” “on the left, ” “leftist,” and so on. In my own data, it turned out that these labels were applied to Wellstone slightly more frequently than the analogous labels with “right” were applied to Helms. And when I did some searches in the same database that Boyd used, I found that the inclusion of terms like “progressive,” “leftist,” and “on the left” would have increased Wellstone’s rate of labeling by about fifty percent, and doubled Barney Frank’s. In for a penny, in for a pound.

Excuse me, but this is a fine example of using a fact to prove its contrary. Paul Wellstone and Barney Frank are extreme left-wing politicians, the kind of people who would be socialists in every other country. But American socialists have invented the label “progressive” to hide their agenda from the public (who isn’t for “progress?”) and put on a shiny face. Calling Wellstone a “progressive” is going along with the deception; it’s hardly the same as calling Jesse Helms a “reactionary.” The data actually show that the press is more likely to call Wellstone a “progressive” than to call him an extreme left-winger, but it’s more likely to call Helms an extreme right-winger than, say, a moral conservative.

Nunberg’s third gaffe involves media mentions of the concept of “liberal bias” itself. He finds:

In the newspapers I looked at, the word “media” appears within seven words of “liberal bias” 469 times and within seven words of “conservative bias” just 17 times — a twenty-seven-fold discrepancy.

So the media is 27 times more likely to talk about liberal bias than about conservative bias. This arises out of the fact that credible books are on the best-seller list discussing this very thing, so the media has to defend itself. But to Nunberg, this self-defense is evidence of media complicity in the conservative plot:

The media may not have invented the “liberal bias” story, but people like Goldberg and Bozell couldn’t have put it over without their active help.

Nunberg should have left well enough alone, because in defending his shoddy methodology, he makes his biases quite clear and digs himself a deeper hole. He’s a Stanford professor, of course.


Update: see Live from the WTC and Zonitics for further illumination on the NOW thing, and pay a call to the NOW web site where they list “Fighting the Right” as a major issue.


*Update: see clarification on fudge vs. spin above.

Republican death wish marches on

— Simon’s harsh words on immigration may haunt campaign / Capturing Latino votes could prove difficult: “Republican Bill Simon has promised that as governor he would “have my legal experts look at” resubmitting Proposition 187 — the anti-illegal immigration measure — to the federal courts.”It seems that the conservative choice made some potentially inflammatory remarks … Continue reading “Republican death wish marches on”

Simon’s harsh words on immigration may haunt campaign / Capturing Latino votes could prove difficult: “Republican Bill Simon has promised that as governor he would “have my legal experts look at” resubmitting Proposition 187 — the anti-illegal immigration measure — to the federal courts.”

It seems that the conservative choice made some potentially inflammatory remarks about Prop. 187 on a right wing radio talk show during the primary, which the Davis camp will exploit to huge advantage. It’s not clear from the Comical’s news report what Simon actually said, however.