Here’s where the election stands, as well as anybody knows:
Poll
| Date |
Bush
|
Kerry
|
Nader
|
Spread
|
48.0
|
46.9
|
1.0
|
Bush
+1.1 |
|
48.6
|
47.0
|
Off
Ballot |
Bush
+1.6 |
|
47.0
|
47.8
|
Off
Ballot |
Kerry
+0.8 |
|
47.5
|
47.0
|
1.0
|
Bush
+0.5 |
|
45.2
|
48.5
|
1.5
|
Kerry
+3.3 |
|
Minnesota | 10/24 – 10/31 |
45.8
|
48.0
|
5.0
|
Kerry
+2.2 |
47.5
|
46.8
|
1.7
|
Bush
+0.7 |
|
49.5
|
44.8
|
Off
Ballot |
Bush
+4.7 |
|
47.0
|
48.3
|
2.0
|
Kerry
+1.3 |
|
49.7
|
45.7
|
–
|
Bush
+4.0 |
|
51.5
|
43.0
|
–
|
Bush
+8.5 |
|
48.0
|
46.0
|
1.3
|
Bush
+2.0 |
|
Oregon | 10/25-10/29 |
45.0
|
49.8
|
–
|
Kerry
+4.8 |
50.3
|
43.3
|
–
|
Bush
+7.0 |
|
41.5
|
51.0
|
1.0
|
Kerry
+9.5 |
|
50.0
|
45.3
|
1.0
|
Bush
+4.7 |
|
44.7
|
43.8
|
–
|
Bush
+0.9 |