The actual design of social security

Critics of President Bush’s plans for social security reform often hide their reflexive opposition to all things Bush behind a mask of “original intent”, claiming that the system has always been intended to make workers support retirees, so there’s something blasphemous about the private account system that makes everyone accountable for his own retirement. So … Continue reading “The actual design of social security”

Critics of President Bush’s plans for social security reform often hide their reflexive opposition to all things Bush behind a mask of “original intent”, claiming that the system has always been intended to make workers support retirees, so there’s something blasphemous about the private account system that makes everyone accountable for his own retirement. So let’s look at FDR’s actual intent, as expressed in this letter he sent to Congress in 1935:

In the important field of security for our old people, it seems necessary to adopt three principles: First, noncontributory old-age pensions for those who are now too old to build up their own insurance. It is, of course, clear that for perhaps 30 years to come funds will have to be provided by the States and the Federal Government to meet these pensions. Second, compulsory contributory annuities which in time will establish a self-supporting system for those now young and for future generations. Third, voluntary contributory annuities by which individual initiative can increase the annual amounts received in old age. It is proposed that the Federal Government assume one-half of the cost of the old-age pension plan, which ought ultimately to be supplanted by self-supporting annuity plans.

According to the Original Design, the Ponzi Scheme should have ended in 1965, and we should be well into a system of self-supporting annuity plans.

The question the reflexive critics really should be asking is why we aren’t.

Lion of Evolutionary Biology Dies

Sadly, the great Ernst Mayr has passed away at the age of 100: He was known as an architect of the evolutionary or modern synthesis, an intellectual watershed when modern evolutionary biology was born. The synthesis, which has been described by Dr. Stephen Jay Gould of Harvard as “one of the half-dozen major scientific achievements … Continue reading “Lion of Evolutionary Biology Dies”

Sadly, the great Ernst Mayr has passed away at the age of 100:

He was known as an architect of the evolutionary or modern synthesis, an intellectual watershed when modern evolutionary biology was born. The synthesis, which has been described by Dr. Stephen Jay Gould of Harvard as “one of the half-dozen major scientific achievements in our century,” revived Darwin’s theories of evolution and reconciled them with new findings in laboratory genetics and in field work on animal populations and diversity.

One of Dr. Mayr’s most significant contributions was his persuasive argument for the role of geography in the origin of new species, an idea that has won virtually universal acceptance among evolutionary theorists. He also established a philosophy of biology and founded the field of the history of biology.

Truly one of the great figures in science, Mayr explained macroevolution through his theories of allopatric and peripatric speciation:

Today allopatric speciation (allo, from the Greek for other, and patric, from the Greek for fatherland) is accepted as the most common way in which new species arise: when populations of a single species are geographically isolated from one another, they slowly accumulate differences until they can no longer interbreed. It was Dr. Mayr who first convinced evolutionary biologists of the importance of allopatric speciation with the detailed arguments in his seminal book “Systematics and the Origin of Species.”

He was the principal thorn in the side of the Discovery Institute creationists.

Turnout in Iraq

Overall, the turnout looks higher than expected, according to the Washington Post: Election officials said they expect the final results to show a higher-than-expected turnout among the nation’s 14 million eligible voters, although Sunni Arabs are believed to have voted in much smaller numbers than the Shiites or Kurds. But allegations are surfacing about vote-counting … Continue reading “Turnout in Iraq”

Overall, the turnout looks higher than expected, according to the Washington Post:

Election officials said they expect the final results to show a higher-than-expected turnout among the nation’s 14 million eligible voters, although Sunni Arabs are believed to have voted in much smaller numbers than the Shiites or Kurds.

But allegations are surfacing about vote-counting issues in Mosul:

Sunni politicians complain that voting irregularities in Mosul, Iraq’s third largest city with a mostly Sunni population, deprived many Sunni Arabs, as well as Kurds and Christians, of their right to vote. The election commission has sent a team to Mosul to investigate.

It’s probably not as bad as Seattle, but these things do have to be investigated.

New York Times says polling places in Kurdish parts of mainly-Sunni Mosul were closed:

A member of the election commission, Safwat Rashid, a 59-year-old lawyer from Sulaimaniya, in the Kurdish region, was evasive about the turnout, implying it might end up significantly lower than the initial estimate. The figure has been see-sawing as a result of protests being fielded by the commission about irregularities in the voting and in some of the counting. There was also a dispute in Mosul involving large numbers of would-be voters in mainly Kurdish districts who had found polling centers closed, or with too few ballot papers to accommodate an unexpectedly large number of voters. “Only God Almighty knows the final turnout now,” Mr. Rashid said.

This is too much like Seattle, home of the Great Northwestern Coup of 2005, for comfort.

Reforming Social Security

Instapundit makes a couple of salient points: Another blast from the past: Harry Reid used to support Social Security reform: “Most of us have no problem with taking a small amount of the Social Security proceeds and putting it into the private sector.” Interestingly, so did FDR: “In a written statement to Congress in 1935, … Continue reading “Reforming Social Security”

Instapundit makes a couple of salient points:

Another blast from the past: Harry Reid used to support Social Security reform: “Most of us have no problem with taking a small amount of the Social Security proceeds and putting it into the private sector.”

Interestingly, so did FDR: “In a written statement to Congress in 1935, Roosevelt said that any Social Security plans should include, ‘Voluntary contributory annuities, by which individual initiative can increase the annual amounts received in old age,’ adding that government funding, ‘ought to ultimately be supplanted by self-supporting annuity plans.'”

Now that’s a real blast from the past. Is it “ultimately” yet?

Indeed, and our condolences for his being fired from The Apprentice last night. Better luck next time and all that.

The “Imminent Threat” Canard

As the canard that wouldn’t die has been raised in the comments to the Weinberger post, let’s review the President’s SOTU from 2003: Some have said we must not act until the threat is imminent. Since when have terrorists and tyrants announced their intentions, politely putting us on notice before they strike? If this threat … Continue reading “The “Imminent Threat” Canard”

As the canard that wouldn’t die has been raised in the comments to the Weinberger post, let’s review the President’s SOTU from 2003:

Some have said we must not act until the threat is imminent. Since when have terrorists and tyrants announced their intentions, politely putting us on notice before they strike? If this threat is permitted to fully and suddenly emerge, all actions, all words, and all recriminations would come too late. Trusting in the sanity and restraint of Saddam Hussein is not a strategy, and it is not an option.

Any questions?

UPDATE: Here’s what we said after Powell’s UN presentation, which was clearly not on some “imminent threat” theme. The criticism of the president at the time was largely based on the wisdom of breaking policy by deposing a regime that didn’t present an “imminent threat”.

Early returns as expected

The first ten percent of votes counted in Iraq show al Sistani’s United Iraqi Alliance comfortably ahead of Allawi’s ticket, by about a 3-1 margin. LA Times has the same story, but WaPo, USAT, and WSJ are silent; not as silent as Riverbend who still hasn’t acknowledged any election took place, but silent about the … Continue reading “Early returns as expected”

The first ten percent of votes counted in Iraq show al Sistani’s United Iraqi Alliance comfortably ahead of Allawi’s ticket, by about a 3-1 margin. LA Times has the same story, but WaPo, USAT, and WSJ are silent; not as silent as Riverbend who still hasn’t acknowledged any election took place, but silent about the numbers.

Perhaps ole Riverbend’s in Marin County after all.

UPDATE: OK, the WaPo has updated with an AP version of the same basic story as the others, just a little less emphasis on dead Marines than the sensationalist LA paper.

UPDATE: The Washington Post reports that overall turnout was higher than expected. Bummer, lefties.

Scientific interlude

We interrupt our program of rank political partisanship to bring you a flash of scientific insight on the development of human language: How is a language born? What are its essential elements? Linguists are gaining new insights into these age-old conundrums from a language created in a small village in Israel’s Negev Desert. The Al-Sayyid … Continue reading “Scientific interlude”

We interrupt our program of rank political partisanship to bring you a flash of scientific insight on the development of human language:

How is a language born? What are its essential elements? Linguists are gaining new insights into these age-old conundrums from a language created in a small village in Israel’s Negev Desert.

The Al-Sayyid Bedouin Sign Language (ABSL), which serves as an alternative language of a community of about 3,500 deaf and hearing people, has developed a distinct grammatical structure early in its evolution, researchers report, and the structure favors a particular word order: verbs after objects.

Al-Sayyid is an interesting community because it has so many deaf people – 150 out of 3500 – that everybody can sign, and the sign language they’ve developed isn’t like any other sign langugage in the world or like their spoken language. How this happened remains a mystery.

World’s shortest SOTU review

Bush gave a confident, solid, and somewhat uplifting speech on two important themes, while Democrats offered a laughably sad rebuttal consisting of a Vegas politico bleeding for the children and a Frisco pacifist pretending to rattle the saber for national defense while main-lining botox. Forecast: 50 years of Republican government. For a more elaborated review, … Continue reading “World’s shortest SOTU review”

Bush gave a confident, solid, and somewhat uplifting speech on two important themes, while Democrats offered a laughably sad rebuttal consisting of a Vegas politico bleeding for the children and a Frisco pacifist pretending to rattle the saber for national defense while main-lining botox.

Forecast: 50 years of Republican government.

For a more elaborated review, see Jeff Goldstein, and for a more emotional one, see Roger L. Simon:

Like him or not, George Bush has done something never before done in human history by anyone I can think of — bring democracy to a faraway country that didn’t have it by force of his own will (because there’s no way this would have happened had he not been elected). No one, not even Roosevelt, can say as much.

Polling-wise, 86% had a positive reaction.

Patriot of the Week

Mickey Kaus sees the silver lining in John Kerry’s dismal and pathetic appearance on Meet the Press: P.S.: Patriot of the Week Award goes to Sen. John Kerry for appearing on Meet the Press and being just as petty, negative, solipsistic (“I laid out four steps”), self-serving, inarticulate and semi-delusional as his many reluctant supporters … Continue reading “Patriot of the Week”

Mickey Kaus sees the silver lining in John Kerry’s dismal and pathetic appearance on Meet the Press:

P.S.: Patriot of the Week Award goes to Sen. John Kerry for appearing on Meet the Press and being just as petty, negative, solipsistic (“I laid out four steps”), self-serving, inarticulate and semi-delusional as his many reluctant supporters feared he might be in office, thereby allowing millions of Democrats and independents to feel more comfortable with their president and putting in place the preconditions for a vast, bipartisan coming-together surge of national unity! … A deeply satisfying performance. … He could have been good! But no–he chose instead to sacrifice his own popularity for his country. …

Good point.

What I Heard about Iraq

Want to read a misleading poem about being misled? Click and thee shall find. This is what I heard about Iraq: 25 million oppressed people have been freed, and the torture chambers, rape rooms, and mass graves used by their former oppressor are out of business.

Want to read a misleading poem about being misled? Click and thee shall find.

This is what I heard about Iraq: 25 million oppressed people have been freed, and the torture chambers, rape rooms, and mass graves used by their former oppressor are out of business.