Poor Dr. Dean

Howard Dean doesn’t have a friend in the world. Now Susan Estrich, that paragon of moderation, has taken to dissing his famous website: At the time Dean pulled out of the race in 2004, his much-vaunted website was getting one-tenth as many hits as George Bush’s. Even more important, the Bush team, under the leadership … Continue reading “Poor Dr. Dean”

Howard Dean doesn’t have a friend in the world. Now Susan Estrich, that paragon of moderation, has taken to dissing his famous website:

At the time Dean pulled out of the race in 2004, his much-vaunted website was getting one-tenth as many hits as George Bush’s. Even more important, the Bush team, under the leadership of then-Rove deputy Ken Mehlman, was embarked on a sophisticated technological project that allowed it to communicate with voters in key states and key groups the same way Amazon does with regular purchasers: Understanding more than name, address and serial number, Amazon knows what I like, and what my family likes, and what other people like me like, so that when they write to me, they know how to sell to me. So did Bush.

Didn’t the Moveon.org faction of the Democratic Party secure his party leadership on the strength of his grasp of technology and fund-raising? It looks like they were wrong again.

Janice Rogers Brown quotes

PFAW, the big-government/abortion rights group that always opposes good judges, has done the service of compiling a list of Janice Rogers Brown quotes on their website, including this one: In truth, liberalism’s vaunted tolerance and openness is a lie. In America, at least, liberalism is tolerant only of those concerns to which it is indifferent. … Continue reading “Janice Rogers Brown quotes”

PFAW, the big-government/abortion rights group that always opposes good judges, has done the service of compiling a list of Janice Rogers Brown quotes on their website, including this one:

In truth, liberalism’s vaunted tolerance and openness is a lie. In America, at least, liberalism is tolerant only of those concerns to which it is indifferent. To those trivialized forms of religious observance which amount to no more than a consumer preference, the culture maintains a posture of tolerance.

You can see why they’re so upset with Brown, and why I’m so happy she was confirmed. Her performance as a Supreme Court justice in California was excellent, even though the California Bar gave her low ratings at the time of her nomination to the Appeals Court on account of her not having previous judging experience. I’d love to see her on the Supreme Court one day, alongside Richard Posner, Alex Kozinski, and Chief Justice Thomas.

Regime change coming to Iran?

Asher reports on the encouraging signs from Iran: Regime’s days are numbered, say activists. This Friday will mark the official beginning of the revolution against the IRI, according to SOS Iran: ‘We the 70 million people of Iran request your declaration to denounce the Islamic Republic as the legitimate government of Iran on the 10th … Continue reading “Regime change coming to Iran?”

Asher reports on the encouraging signs from Iran:

Regime’s days are numbered, say activists. This Friday will mark the official beginning of the revolution against the IRI, according to SOS Iran: ‘We the 70 million people of Iran request your declaration to denounce the Islamic Republic as the legitimate government of Iran on the 10th of June. On this historic day, we the Iranian people will place our seal on a promise of this general uprising which will go down in history as a confrontation between good and evil. On the 10th of June, the people of the world shall rally to our cause, in solidarity with Iranians everywhere. We have given the mullahs until the 16th of June to submit to the will of the Iranian people and peacefully surrender the power to its rightful owners. We the 70 million Iranians hereby cast our vote to end the Islamic Republic’s reign of terror, and no longer consider the Islamic Republic a legitimate government. Should they be so unwise not to leave peacefully on June 16th, we are prepared to remove this dictatorship and bring to an end the 26 years of their shameful reign. We will strike on the 18th of June, from every corner of our land, in every city, at every outpost of the Islamic Republic, and will bring those who have wronged us to justice.’ The full text of this ultimatum (PDF), signed by all the major Iranian opposition groups, can be found at the SOS Iran homepage. Iranians are urged to stay indoors with the lights out every evening, beginning this Friday, as a show of unity. The declaration also calls for acts of civil disobedience by Iranian expatriates in Europe in solidarity with activists in the homeland.

See his blog for more details. We talked about this at this week’s meeting of the Portland Patriarchy but I don’t know how to assess it.

Scalia, fair-weather federalist

Randy Barnett, the losing lawyer in the Raich marijuana case, explains the trap the Ninth Circuit set for the Supremes, and underscores the importance of getting some real federalists on the court: Justice Scalia now joins in expanding the reach of the Commerce Clause power beyond even that which the Court had endorsed in Wickard … Continue reading “Scalia, fair-weather federalist”

Randy Barnett, the losing lawyer in the Raich marijuana case, explains the trap the Ninth Circuit set for the Supremes, and underscores the importance of getting some real federalists on the court:

Justice Scalia now joins in expanding the reach of the Commerce Clause power beyond even that which the Court had endorsed in Wickard v. Filburn. In oral argument he admitted, “I always used to laugh at Wickard.” Now it’s Judge Stephen Reinhardt and the Ninth Circuit’s turn to laugh.

Gonzales v. Raich has had the salutary effect of showing that federalism is not just for conservatives. Many liberals are distressed about Justice Stevens’s opinion. With a Republican Congress they have come to see the virtue of state experimentation. The case also succeeded in raising the national visibility of the medical-cannabis cause. Maybe now Congress will act where it has refused to act in the past.

But Gonzales v. Raich has placed the future of the New Federalism in doubt, which makes future appointments to the Supreme Court all the more important. Will the president name someone who, like Justice Thomas, is truly committed to federalism? Or will his nominee be a fair-weather federalist, as Justice Scalia has turned out to be when the chips were down?

Scalia has disappointed many of those who once thought him a principled and intelligent jurist. His position on Raich may have been taken for career reasons – he wants to be Chief Justice – and it didn’t ultimately affect the outcome, but it was still probably wrong.

But Barnett grossly overstates his case. Had the majority ruled in favor of upholding the Ninth Circuit in this case, the constitutional underpinning for Social Security, OSHA, the ADA, and VAWA would all be in doubt, and the law would essentially be as it was in 1935 when Congress had very little power. It could be that Scalia simply felt that was going too far, too fast.

UPDATE: Writing on the VC, Orin Kerr goes into this stability of the law business by way of explaining Kennedy’s vote, quoting this from Kennedy’s concurrence in the Lopez case, one of the hallmarks of the New Federalism:

[T]he Court as an institution and the legal system as a whole have an immense stake in the stability of our Commerce Clause jurisprudence as it has evolved to this point. Stare decisis operates with great force in counseling us not to call in question the essential principles now in place respecting the congressional power to regulate transactions of a commercial nature. That fundamental restraint on our power forecloses us from reverting to an understanding of commerce that would serve only an 18th century economy, dependent then upon production and trading practices that had changed but little over the preceding centuries; it also mandates against returning to the time when congressional authority to regulate undoubted commercial activities was limited by a judicial determination that those matters had an insufficient connection to an interstate system.

So it comes down to this: even if the anti-federalism of the 30s and since is wrong, it can’t be corrected right away without messing with our system of government in a serious way*. Barnett doesn’t see this, so his railings against the court are pretty shrill at the moment.

It appears that the best way to deal with the medical marijuana issue is for Congress to change federal law; that is, after all, their job.

*For example, most newspapers don’t cover their state legislatures in a serious way, so increased decision-making at the state level today would largely take place in secret. In time, this would change, but until it did the quality of our laws would suffer.

Quiz

Here’s a question to test your knowledge of public affairs. What member of the United States Senate is the only person to vote against the confirmation of Justices Thurgood Marshall, Clarence Thomas, and Janice Rogers Brown? Is this senator a racist or just stupid? Answer after the jump.

Here’s a question to test your knowledge of public affairs. What member of the United States Senate is the only person to vote against the confirmation of Justices Thurgood Marshall, Clarence Thomas, and Janice Rogers Brown? Is this senator a racist or just stupid?

Answer after the jump.
Continue reading “Quiz”

Handling the overflow

According to one of Sploid’s sources, Germany is planning for the expected overflow in one of their cherished industries during next year’s unruly World Cup: Prostitution is legal in Germany in designated areas. “In Dortmund we have an official red light district on the outskirts, but there is a problem. There is not enough space … Continue reading “Handling the overflow”

According to one of Sploid’s sources, Germany is planning for the expected overflow in one of their cherished industries during next year’s unruly World Cup:

Prostitution is legal in Germany in designated areas.

“In Dortmund we have an official red light district on the outskirts, but there is a problem. There is not enough space for everyone to park.”

Dortmund plans to arrange the Dutch-designed huts, which have been introduced in the city of Cologne, another World Cup venue, in an area with condom machines and snack bar.

The snack bar will only sell organic, low -carb, whole-grain treats.

Wal-Mart, Meet Prada

Wal-Mart is going upscale in hopes of boosting their sagging sales figures: Dear God, what if Wal-Mart sold Manolo Blahniks in the shoe section? Or stocked copies of Dwell and the New York Review of Books in the magazine aisle? At Wal-Mart’s annual meeting last week, CEO Lee Scott unveiled what may be a subtle … Continue reading “Wal-Mart, Meet Prada”

Wal-Mart is going upscale in hopes of boosting their sagging sales figures:

Dear God, what if Wal-Mart sold Manolo Blahniks in the shoe section? Or stocked copies of Dwell and the New York Review of Books in the magazine aisle?

At Wal-Mart’s annual meeting last week, CEO Lee Scott unveiled what may be a subtle shift in just that direction. The company is doing fine selling goods in massive quantities to lower- and middle-income shoppers who patronize Wal-Mart because, in Scott’s words, they “have to save money.” But these customers can get tapped out. Indeed, the retailer’s same-store sales have been plodding along, increasing less than 3 percent per year.

To grow more rapidly, Scott said, Wal-Mart needs to attract customers with lots of discretionary income who shop where they want to. So Wal-Mart plans to appeal to them by improving the quality of its clothes and goods and by stocking more “organic and natural food.”

Tip: don’t put this fancy stuff under the same roof as the garbage cans, underwear, and lawnmowers; think Chipotle, the upscale Taco Bell. And good luck, kick Costco in the ass.

Dvorak: “I knew it all along”

John Dvorak says he’s been trying to tell us for years that the end was nigh for the IBM/Apple combination. The Intel platform has some interesting implications (as we said yesterday): I’ve never understood why the Mac nuts are in such denial over this platform shift. This change to Intel will not only save the … Continue reading “Dvorak: “I knew it all along””

John Dvorak says he’s been trying to tell us for years that the end was nigh for the IBM/Apple combination. The Intel platform has some interesting implications (as we said yesterday):

I’ve never understood why the Mac nuts are in such denial over this platform shift. This change to Intel will not only save the platform but potentially drive it into a position of dominance. What will be lost, of course, is the niche and mystique aspect of the Mac which many of its users seem to relish as part of some misguided superiority complex.

A more interesting scenario to me is examining the possibility that Windows users can switch to the Mac OS on their Intel machines. Is this going to be possible?

I have always believed that Apple could enter the PC arena with an Intel-based computer that could run OS-X or Windows and begin to take market share away from Dell and HP.

So why not? If Apple’s real value is their software, doesn’t it benefit them to run it on as many platforms as possible?

The PC industry is undergoing one of those paradigm-shift dealies where the PC is becoming a home entertainment device, and Apple is well-positioned (as they say) to take advantage as long as they understand their actual product.

In the battle over who broke the story first, the Wall St. Journal is taking credit.

Apple goes Intel

This is really hilarious news: SAN FRANCISCO, June 5 – Steven P. Jobs is preparing to take an unprecedented gamble by abandoning Apple Computer’s 14-year commitment to chips developed by I.B.M. and Motorola in favor of Intel processors for his Macintosh computers, industry executives informed of the decision said Sunday. So much for the claims … Continue reading “Apple goes Intel”

This is really hilarious news:

SAN FRANCISCO, June 5 – Steven P. Jobs is preparing to take an unprecedented gamble by abandoning Apple Computer’s 14-year commitment to chips developed by I.B.M. and Motorola in favor of Intel processors for his Macintosh computers, industry executives informed of the decision said Sunday.

So much for the claims that PowerPC offers more bang for the buck than Intel.

We don’t know yet if this means that Apple will build a straight-up PC clone capable of running Windows and Linux, but if they so something short of that it will be stupid. And if they do build a real clone and port OS X to it, they’ll have a software platform capable of challenging Microsoft. They won’t win, of course, but the battle will be fun to watch.

H/T John Cole.

UPDATE: It’s official, Jobs announced it today and gave a demo. The reaction was interesting:

Gasps of concern went out at the developer conference when Jobs first mentioned the switch, as many Apple fans have long relished their non-Wintel status. The developers will be charged with doing most of the work to shed Apple software from the PowerPC architecture.

Heh heh heh. Apple apparently wants to get out of the PC hardware business and focus on OS X and iPods. More power to them.

UPDATE: Here’s a bit about Apple’s rationale; it’s not what you might think.

Monkey Business

Economist Keith Chen teaches monkeys to use money and sits back and watches what they do: Chen next introduced a pair of gambling games and set out to determine which one the monkeys preferred. In the first game, the capuchin was given one grape and, dependent on a coin flip, either retained the original grape … Continue reading “Monkey Business”

Economist Keith Chen teaches monkeys to use money and sits back and watches what they do:

Chen next introduced a pair of gambling games and set out to determine which one the monkeys preferred. In the first game, the capuchin was given one grape and, dependent on a coin flip, either retained the original grape or won a bonus grape. In the second game, the capuchin started out owning the bonus grape and, once again dependent on a coin flip, either kept the two grapes or lost one. These two games are in fact the same gamble, with identical odds, but one is framed as a potential win and the other as a potential loss.

How did the capuchins react? They far preferred to take a gamble on the potential gain than the potential loss. This is not what an economics textbook would predict. The laws of economics state that these two gambles, because they represent such small stakes, should be treated equally.

So, does Chen’s gambling experiment simply reveal the cognitive limitations of his small-brained subjects? Perhaps not. In similar experiments, it turns out that humans tend to make the same type of irrational decision at a nearly identical rate. Documenting this phenomenon, known as loss aversion, is what helped the psychologist Daniel Kahneman win a Nobel Prize in economics. The data generated by the capuchin monkeys, Chen says, ”make them statistically indistinguishable from most stock-market investors.”

And then there’s the prostitution.

H/T Amy Alkon.