An anonymous buddy of Andrew Sullivan crunches the numbers and finds that the gay marriage bans didn’t drive up Bush support compared to comparable states without them:
It is certainly possible that the fact that the Bush administration raised the issue to the level to which did led to increased turnout among religious conservatives nationwide, which then resulted in Bush’s overall improved vote share over his 2000 performance. However, one would also expect that this vote share improvement would have been particularly high in states in which the marriage issue was particularly relevant. On the contrary, there is no evidence that suggests that the strategy of putting the anti-marriage initiatives on the ballot in several states did anything to improve Bush’s performance in those states.”
I suspected as much when I compared Ohio’s exit polls to Pennsylvania’s. Gay marriage is just not that big a deal for most people.
Okay, what about abortion?
Do you think that was a pretty big deal for most people? Many of the folks I’ve spoken to around hear feel pretty strongly in favor of the President’s clear stand on abortion.
“Gay marriage is just not that big a deal for most people.”
Including this guy from Ohio, who moved here from San Francisco, and whose practices in bed are none of your business.
thankyouverymuch,
Jim
Abortion law should be written by state legislatures, not by nine judges finding non-specific rights lurking in “emanations and penumbras” of enumerated rights, Kim. It was legal in California and New York before Roe v. Wade and it will still be legal in those states when Roe is repealed by a proper reading of the Constitution.
Well, if your analysis is right (terroism, not religious fundamentalists) the Dems are in good shape.
Oh, I forgot. They are: in the state legislatures, it was a success.
I wouldn’t be surprised; I’d chalk it up to the Stockholm syndrom.
That said, I still want to make sure the bulllshit memes propagated by the right are given a proper dirt nap.