Election results

No big surprises so far: Lieberman beats the Kos Kids, DeWine and Santorum lose, and the other key Senate races are too close to call. The ones I’m watching are the toss-ups: Rhode Island, Virginia. Missouri, and Montana. It looks like CNN Elections 2006 has the best coverage. UPDATE: CNN calls RI for Dems, so … Continue reading “Election results”

No big surprises so far: Lieberman beats the Kos Kids, DeWine and Santorum lose, and the other key Senate races are too close to call. The ones I’m watching are the toss-ups: Rhode Island, Virginia. Missouri, and Montana. It looks like CNN Elections 2006 has the best coverage.

UPDATE: CNN calls RI for Dems, so they’re halfway there. Much celebration over that, I’d imagine. Virginia now looms large.

FINAL: It’s a wipeout, the Dems walk away with the whole pie. Now maybe we can get religion out of politics for good.

Election forecast

It looks to me like the Dems will pick up about 30 seats in the House, which means it changes hands. The Senate looks closer, and it will probably stay narrowly in Republican hands. The Senate doesn’t matter that much because you need 60 votes to do anything important, and neither party is close to … Continue reading “Election forecast”

It looks to me like the Dems will pick up about 30 seats in the House, which means it changes hands. The Senate looks closer, and it will probably stay narrowly in Republican hands. The Senate doesn’t matter that much because you need 60 votes to do anything important, and neither party is close to that mark.

Nationally, the Dems will pick up several governorships, but California will buck the trend. Not only will Arnie be re-elected, but we’re going to get one or two more Republican statewide office holders, probably Tom McClintock and either an insurance commissioner, a treasurer or a controller. Democrat Debbie Bowen will win the Sec. of State’s race, and that’s a good thing because she’s a real geek.

If the Repubs are paying attention, they’ll learn from California to shut up about the gays, the Christians, the guns, and the unborn babies, and worry more about stuff like the environment, infrastructure, low taxes, and health care.

Even though the Dems are going to pick up the House, I doubt Nancy Pelosi will be elected speaker. She’s a dimwit, and they can do a lot better. Steny Hoyer came second in their last contest, and he’s a much better man than Frisco loony Pelosi.

UPDATE: The Dems did even better than I thought, taking the Senate as well as the House, and it looks like they intend to give Pelosi a shot at speaker after all. Hopefully, her cat-fight with Jane Harman will stop. Sadly, Tom McClintock won’t get to entertain us from the ceremonial position of Lt. Governor, but the Republican Steve Poizner won Insurance Commissioner over the corrupt Cruz Bustamante. The only Congressional seat to change columns here was Pombo’s, which he lost because of his radical opposition to the Endangered Species Act.

What does Tim think?

According to reports from BBC and The Guardian, web inventor Tim Berners-Lee thinks his baby’s in danger. BBC News: He told the BBC: “If we don’t have the ability to understand the web as it’s now emerging, we will end up with things that are very bad. “Certain undemocratic things could emerge and misinformation will … Continue reading “What does Tim think?”

According to reports from BBC and The Guardian, web inventor Tim Berners-Lee thinks his baby’s in danger. BBC News:

He told the BBC: “If we don’t have the ability to understand the web as it’s now emerging, we will end up with things that are very bad.

“Certain undemocratic things could emerge and misinformation will start spreading over the web.

“Studying these forces and the way they’re affected by the underlying technology is one of the things that we think is really important,” he said.

And The Guardian:

The creator of the world wide web told the Guardian last night that the internet is in danger of being corrupted by fraudsters, liars and cheats. Sir Tim Berners-Lee, the Briton who founded the web in the early 1990s, says that if the internet is left to develop unchecked, “bad phenomena” will erode its usefulness.

His creation has transformed the way millions of people work, do business, and entertain themselves.

But he warns that “there is a great danger that it becomes a place where untruths start to spread more than truths, or it becomes a place which becomes increasingly unfair in some way”. He singles out the rise of blogging as one of the most difficult areas for the continuing development of the web, because of the risks associated with inaccurate, defamatory and uncheckable information.

But Tim says he was misquoted both times, and the web is really in fine shape:

A great example of course is the blogging world. Blogs provide a gently evolving network of pointers of interest. As do FOAF files. I’ve always thought that FOAF could be extended to provide a trust infrastructure for (e..g.) spam filtering and OpenID-style single sign-on and its good to see things happening in that space.

In a recent interview with the Guardian, alas, my attempt to explain this was turned upside down into a “blogging is one of the biggest perils” message. Sigh. I think they took their lead from an unfortunate BBC article, which for some reason stressed concerns about the web rather than excitement, failure modes rather than opportunities. (This happens, because when you launch a Web Science Research Initiative, people ask what the opportunities are and what the dangers are for the future. And some editors are tempted to just edit out the opportunities and headline the fears to get the eyeballs, which is old and boring newspaper practice. We expect better from the Guardian and BBC, generally very reputable sources)

So what’s going on here, was the venerable scientist misquoted by a sensationalist press? I think not, as both BBC and The Guardian are well known for the sobriety of their analysis of technical subjects. At this stage in his career, Berners-Lee is more a politician than a scientist, and he needs to learn the politician’s skill of talking to journalists so they can understand what, if anything, he thinks. He tends to speak out both sides of his mouth, as he’s done on network neutrality. He claims to support the principle while endorsing commercial arrangements that happen to be forbidden by proposed neutrality laws, and that’s hard to dance around.

The web, like any number of things, is a mixture of good and bad, and the challenge is always to maximize the one while minimizing the other. That’s not too hard to express, is it?

When Nunberg attacks

Geoff Nunberg, the leftwing political activist and linguist who wrote Talking Right: How Conservatives Turned Liberalism into a Tax-Raising, Latte-Drinking, Sushi-Eating, Volvo-Driving, New York Times-Reading, Body-Piercing, Hollywood-Loving, Left-Wing Freak Show, is upset with me for connecting George Lakoff with his former professor, Noam Chomsky: Many people assume that there’s some connection between Chomsky’s politics and … Continue reading “When Nunberg attacks”

Geoff Nunberg, the leftwing political activist and linguist who wrote Talking Right: How Conservatives Turned Liberalism into a Tax-Raising, Latte-Drinking, Sushi-Eating, Volvo-Driving, New York Times-Reading, Body-Piercing, Hollywood-Loving, Left-Wing Freak Show, is upset with me for connecting George Lakoff with his former professor, Noam Chomsky:

Many people assume that there’s some connection between Chomsky’s politics and his linguistics, and a lot of them go on to conclude that linguistics itself is constituitively a leftish discipline. So when Lakoff emerged as an influential political figure, it seemed natural to blur both his politics and his linguistics with Chomsky’s, particularly if for those who didn’t know jack about linguistics. Whatever your political views, it’s a depressing reminder of how widespread the ignorance about the field of linguistics is (not that we exactly needed another one). But then it’s probably asking too much to expect people who find it expedient to conflate Lakoff’s garden-variety liberalism with Chomsky’s anarcho-syndicalism to take the trouble to learn the difference between Chomsky’s minimalism and Lakoff’s cognitive linguistics. Oh well, they have the sense they were born with.

Please. I called Lakoff a “protege” of Chomsky’s because one of the meanings of that word is “pupil”. I’m aware that Lakoff went on to develop his own school of linguistics and a set of political beliefs that differ from Chomsky’s at the margins. But it’s impossible to ignore the fact that Chomsky was the prototype of linguist-cum-lefty-activist, and Lakoff was a student who follows in the master’s footsteps along the broad program while differing in some of the details. Nunberg follows the same (by now) well-worn path, so (naturally) he sees distinctions that don’t matter to civilians. For the record, Lakoff’s linguistics are much less loony than Chomsky’s, but that never was the issue. I’m concerned about the use of the science of linguistics to mislead voters, and on that front Chomsky and Lakoff are strongly aligned.

UPDATE: A more accurate description of Lakoff is “Chomsky wannabe.” When you criticize linguists, be very careful about your terminology as they’ll pick you to death with meaningless distinctions.

Oh joy

The Citizen Journalist meets the Citizen Engineer and soon we’ll be drowning in data: The new NewAssignment.net site launches today and Tom Evslin writes about a very real networked journalism project to find whether there are the smoking guns of network (non)neutrality lurking in our ISP wires. We’ve already seen network neutrality discrimination claims made … Continue reading “Oh joy”

The Citizen Journalist meets the Citizen Engineer and soon we’ll be drowning in data:

The new NewAssignment.net site launches today and Tom Evslin writes about a very real networked journalism project to find whether there are the smoking guns of network (non)neutrality lurking in our ISP wires.

We’ve already seen network neutrality discrimination claims made by Craig Newmark that turned out to be caused by the odd configuration of his equipment, discrimination claims that turned out to be temporary service outages, and in Canada discrimination claims that turned out to be service offerings. When the citizen engineer/jour-analyst starts looking at packet delay data, no doubt every traffic-related variation in delivery times will be linked to the latest Evangelical gay sex scandal, Saddam’s WMD program, Ed Whitacres sexual preferences, and the price of soybean futures.

The trouble with citizen efforts at skilled professions isn’t a dearth of data, it’s the inability to interpret the data according to rational standards.

This is going to be fun to watch.

By the way

This is wonderful: The issues dominating this election season remain Iraq, terrorism and various scandals, but the Schiavo matter may prove to be a sleeper issue. It has cropped up in contests across the country—from the Florida governor’s race to close congressional campaigns in Connecticut, Pennsylvania and points west. Schiavo himself has helped stoke the … Continue reading “By the way”

This is wonderful:

The issues dominating this election season remain Iraq, terrorism and various scandals, but the Schiavo matter may prove to be a sleeper issue. It has cropped up in contests across the country—from the Florida governor’s race to close congressional campaigns in Connecticut, Pennsylvania and points west. Schiavo himself has helped stoke the debate by campaigning for candidates who backed his position on Terri’s case and lambasting those who opposed him. Using funds raised by TerriPAC, a political committee he founded last year, he has also given 15 candidates a total of $20,000. All of it is aimed at driving home his message: “Government should not interfere with personal matters,” says Schiavo, who still seethes at the memory of Congress’s and President Bush’s attempts to block removal of Terri’s feeding tube.

After mourning Terri’s death, Schiavo had planned to move on with his life (he has a second wife and two kids). But in the course of writing a book about the case, he reviewed news footage that he’d never seen from the height of the controversy. He became incensed all over again—and decided to do something about it, teaming up with Democratic consultant Derek Newton. Schiavo’s hardly an electrifying speaker, and he mangles names on the stump. But he has an ordinary-guy appeal and a wrenching tale. Formerly a Republican, he’s now a Democrat, though he has supported candidates from both parties. As Election Day nears, he’s trying to squeeze in one more round of campaign stops, in response to requests from candidates in Georgia, Iowa and Virginia. And after Nov. 7? “On to 2008,” he says. An activist has been born.

H/T John Cole.

Deregulator’s Essay

The Progress and Freedom Foundation has published an essay based on the comment that the great Alfred Kahn originally left on their blog. It’s eminently worth reading, as we’ve said before, and here’s the conclusion: Why all the hysteria? There is nothing “liberal” about the government rushing in to regulate these wonderfully promising turbulent developments. … Continue reading “Deregulator’s Essay”

The Progress and Freedom Foundation has published an essay based on the comment that the great Alfred Kahn originally left on their blog. It’s eminently worth reading, as we’ve said before, and here’s the conclusion:

Why all the hysteria? There is nothing “liberal” about the government rushing in to regulate these wonderfully promising turbulent developments. Liberals of both 18th and 20th–and I hope 21st–century varieties should and will put their trust in competition, reinforced by the antitrust laws–and direct regulation only when those institutions prove inadequate to protect the public.

There is no need to rush in and start regulating the Internet based on nothing but suspicion that bad things are in the offing. When and if we see some actual bad practices on the part of the telcos (or on the part of Google and Yahoo, let’s be fair) Congress can take appropriate action, whatever that is. Acting on the basis of suspicion, and with a heavy regulatory hand, will only harm the Internet. And we don’t want to do that, right? So chill, people.

Ned Lamont, RIP

Remember Ned Lamont, the puppet of lefty bloggers Markos and Jerome Armstrong who shook the world by beating Joe Lieberman for the Senate nomination in Connecticut this spring? Well, things aren’t going so well for Mr. Lamont: The apparent end of the much-ballyhooed Lamont phenomenon is causing a great deal of soul-searching and recrimination in … Continue reading “Ned Lamont, RIP”

Remember Ned Lamont, the puppet of lefty bloggers Markos and Jerome Armstrong who shook the world by beating Joe Lieberman for the Senate nomination in Connecticut this spring? Well, things aren’t going so well for Mr. Lamont:

The apparent end of the much-ballyhooed Lamont phenomenon is causing a great deal of soul-searching and recrimination in all corners of the Democratic Party. The bloggers that once championed Mr. Lamont as an awkward but earnest savior now alternately blame Washington’s strategists for hijacking their candidate and Democratic leaders for abandoning him. Beltway consultants fault the Lamont campaign for failing to move the candidate beyond his left-wing celebrity and define him for a greater electorate.

The election is a week away, and already Democratic Party insiders speak of Lamont in the past tense, and all Markos has to show for all his money-raising is a reduction in the number of Democrats in the Senate.

Oh, and did I mention that Lamont’s champions are leaders of the net neutrality cause? Well, they are.